| 引用本文： |
-
罗广元，王桂玲，唐志红.区域农业经济结构的动态对比分析及优势产业的发展研究——以伊犁州三大区域为例[J].大中文模板3,2014,(3):225-231. [点击复制]
- LUO Guang-yuan, WANG Gui-ling, TANG Zhi-hong.Regional dynamic comparative analysis of agricultural economic structure and the development research of the advantage industry——taking three main regions of Yili state for an example[J].大中文模板3,2014,(3):225-231. [点击复制]
|
|
| 摘要: |
| 利用动态分辨系数，通过灰色关联分析对伊犁州三大区域的农业经济结构、农林牧渔业总产值结构、粮食产量以及肉类产量结构进行了初步的对比研究，分析了关联程度较高的影响因子，并通过相关时序模型进行预测分析，结果表明：新疆伊犁州三大地区非农产业所占的比重越来越大，目前已形成以农牧为主的产值结构，小麦、玉米为主的优势产业，以及牛肉、羊肉等为主的生产优势区。伊犁州三大区域应立足于各地区的资源和地域优势，因时制宜，充分发挥各地区优势非农产业以及优势牛羊畜牧业和优势粮食作物，提高优势产品的加工转化，延长产业链，发挥龙头企业的带动作用，进一步促进伊犁州三大地区农业以及农村经济的可持续发展。 |
| 关键词: 农业 产业结构 优势产业 灰色关联分析 可持续发展 伊犁州三大区域 |
| DOI： |
|
| 基金项目:中国科学院西部行动计划项目(KZCXZ-XB3-01) |
|
| Regional dynamic comparative analysis of agricultural economic structure and the development research of the advantage industry——taking three main regions of Yili state for an example |
| LUO Guang-yuan1, WANG Gui-ling2，3, TANG Zhi-hong1 |
| () |
| Abstract: |
| By using the grey correlation with dynamic resolution coefficient, this paper makes the preliminary comparative study of the three main regions of Yili state, by analyzing the economic structure of agriculture, structure of gross output value, structure of grain and meat production. Meanwhile, the influencing factors of high degree of correlation and prediction analysis through the relevant time-series model were performed. Non-agricultural section had an ever-growing contribution in the three main regions of Yili state in Xinjiang. At present, it has formed the industrial structure mostly on agriculture and animal husbandry, superior industry mainly on wheat, corn, beans, and the areas of the production mainly based on beef and mutton. It is imperative to improve the processing transformation of the competitive products and extend the industrial chain. These regions should take the advantages of regional resources and geographical location, with emphasis on the non-agricultural industries, animal husbandry, and food crops. In addition, larger enterprise should play a leading role to further promote the sustainable development of agriculture and rural economy of the three areas. |
| Key words: agriculture industrial structure superior industry grey correlation analysis sustainable development three main regions of Yili state |
